Penn State vs. West Virginia Prediction: Odds, Picks, Best Bets – August 31, 2024

Aug 28, 2024

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The No. 8 Penn State Nittany Lions (0-0) face the West Virginia Mountaineers (0-0) on Saturday, August 31, 2024 at Mountaineer Field at Milan Puskar Stadium. The Nittany Lions are significant favorites in this one, with the spread posted at 8 p🐟oints. The over/under for the contest is 50 points.

Penn State vs. West Virginia Favorite, Moneyline, Total

Spread favorite: Nittany Lions (-8)

Moneyline: Nittany Lions (-278), Mountaineers (+225)

Total: 50 points

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How to Watch Penn State vs. West Virginia

When: Saturday, August 31, 2024 at 12:00 p.m. ET

Location: Mountaineer Field at Milan Puskar Stadium in Morgantown, West Virginia

TV: FOX

Live Stream:

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Penn State 2023 Stats & Rankings

Stat	Average (Total)	Rank
Pass yards	215.0 (2795)	79
Rush yards	184.8 (2403)	29
Points scored	36.2 (471)	18
Pass yards against	172.1 (2237)	7
Rush yards against	96.9 (982)	8
Points allowed	13.5 (175)	3

Penn State 2023 Betting Info

The Nittany Lions compiled an 8-4-0 record against the spread last season.

Penn State was 6-1 ATS last season when playing as at least 8-point favorites.

A total of six of Nittany Lions games last season hit the over.

The average over/under the Nittany Lions had set in matchups last year was 3.5 fewer points than this outing’s point total.

Penn State Home/Away Splits (2023)

	Overall	Home	Away
Point Total AVG	46.5	46.5	46.6
Implied Total AVG	32.3	33.3	30.8
ATS Record	8-4-0	4-3-0	4-1-0
Over/Under Record	6-6-0	4-3-0	2-3-0
Moneyline Favorite Record	9-1	5-1	4-0
Moneyline Underdog Record	0-2	0-1	0-1

Penn State’s Offense vs. West Virginia’s Defense (2023)

The Nittany Lions committed eight turnovers last season, third-lowest in the FBS, while the Mountaineers forced 16 turnovers (42nd-fewest in college football).

Penn State’s red-zone percentage was 93.8% a year ago (seventh in the FBS), while West Virginia allowed a score on 82.9% of its opponents’ red-zone trips (70th in college football).

The Nittany Lions’ 12th-ranked scoring offense put up 36.2 points per game last year. The Mountaineers had the 64th-ranked scoring defense (26.2 ppg).

West Virginia allowed 0.4 points per play last season (45th in college football), while Penn State collected 0.5 per play (11th in the FBS).

West Virginia 2023 Stats & Rankings

Stat	Average (Total)	Rank
Pass yards	205.7 (2674)	91
Rush yards	228.9 (2976)	4
Points scored	31.5 (409)	42
Pass yards against	237.4 (3086)	86
Rush yards against	143.4 (1864)	49
Points allowed	26.2 (340)	64

West Virginia 2023 Betting Info

The Mountaineers had a 8-5-0 record against the spread last year.

Penn State covered the spread six times last season (6-1 ATS) when playing as at least 8-point favorites.

The Mountaineers had eight of its 13 games go over the point total last year.

The average over/under the Nittany Lions had set in matchups last year was 3.5 less points than this outing’s point total.

West Virginia Home/Away Splits (2023)

	Overall	Home	Away
Point Total AVG	53.2	52.7	53.8
Implied Total AVG	32.2	31.7	32.7
ATS Record	8-5-0	6-1-0	2-4-0
Over/Under Record	8-5-0	3-4-0	5-1-0
Moneyline Favorite Record	5-2	4-1	1-1
Moneyline Underdog Record	3-2	1-0	2-2

West Virginia’s Offense vs. Penn State’s Defense (2023)

The Mountaineers’ 205.7 passing yards per game ranked 91st in the FBS last year. The Nittany Lions’ defense allowed 172.1 through the air (seventh).

Penn State allowed a score on 91.7% of its opponents’ red-zone appearances last season (123rd in college football), while West Virginia’s offensive red-zone percentage was 84.5% (68th).

The Mountaineers had a 39.7% third-down conversion rate last season, 60th in the FBS. The Nittany Lions allowed third-down conversions on 30.2% of their opponents’ attempts (11th).

West Virginia’s offense ranked 39th in the FBS at 31.5 points per game last season. It will be up against Penn State’s defense which allowed 13.5 per game (third in college football).

Penn State vs. West Virginia Prediction and Pick

Our prediction for Penn State vs. West Virginia i♛s the Nittany Lions (-278 on the moneyline) as the pick to win. For the over/under, we recommend betting on the over at 50ಌ points.

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