Alabama vs. South Florida Prediction: Picks, Live Odds and Moneyline – September 7, 2024

Sep 04, 2024

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The No. 4 Alabama Crimson Tide (1-0) square off against the South Florida Bulls (1-0) on Saturday, September 7, 2024 at Bryant-Denny Stadium. The Crimson Tide are without a doubt the favorites in this one, with the line sitting at 31 points. 💛The over/under for the contest is 64.5 points.

Alabama vs. South Florida Favorite, Moneyline, Total

Spread favorite: Crimson Tide (-31)

Moneyline: Crimson Tide (-9091), Bulls (+2500)

Total: 64.5 points

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How to Watch Alabama vs. South Florida

When: Saturday, September 7, 2024 at 7:00 p.m. ET

Location: Bryant-Denny Stadium in Tuscaloosa, Alabama

TV: ESPN

Live Stream:

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Alabama 2024 Stats & Rankings

Stat	Average (Total)	Rank
Pass yards	266.0 (266)	56
Rush yards	334.0 (334)	5
Points scored	63.0 (63)	10
Pass yards against	103.0 (103)	16
Rush yards against	42.0 (42)	12
Points allowed	0.0 (0)	1

Alabama 2024 Betting Info

The Crimson Tide have won one game against the spread this season.

Alabama is 13-0 against the spread when favored by 31 points or more this season.

So far this season, one of the Crimson Tide games has hit the over.

The average point total in Crimson Tide games this season is 4.0 fewer points than the over/under of 64.5 in this matchup.

Alabama Home/Away Splits (2023)

	Overall	Home	Away
Point Total AVG	50.8	52.6	48.7
Implied Total AVG	32.1	32.9	31.2
ATS Record	8-5-0	5-2-0	3-3-0
Over/Under Record	9-3-1	4-2-1	5-1-0
Moneyline Favorite Record	10-1	5-1	5-0
Moneyline Underdog Record	1-1	1-0	0-1

Alabama’s Offense vs. South Florida’s Defense (2024)

The Bulls allow opponents to score on 0.0% of their red-zone appearances (first in college football). The Crimson Tide’s offense has an 80.0% red-zone percentage (80th).

Alabama averages 266.0 yards through the air per game (56th in the FBS). South Florida ranks 32nd, giving up 122.0 passing yards.

Alabama’s running game ranks fifth in the FBS (334.0 yards per game). South Florida gives up 48.0 rushing yards per game (18th).

South Florida 2024 Stats & Rankings

Stat	Average (Total)	Rank
Pass yards	172.0 (172)	98
Rush yards	231.0 (231)	33
Points scored	48.0 (48)	36
Pass yards against	122.0 (122)	32
Rush yards against	48.0 (48)	18
Points allowed	3.0 (3)	14

South Florida 2023 Betting Info

Against the spread, the Bulls were 7-5-0 last year.

Alabama covered the spread once last season (1-1 ATS) when playing as at least 31-point favorites.

Out of the 12 Bulls’ games last season, seven went over the total.

The Crimson Tide’s average point total in outings last year was 50.8, 13.7 points less than the total in this game.

South Florida Home/Away Splits (2023)

	Overall	Home	Away
Point Total AVG	62.3	61.3	62.9
Implied Total AVG	35.6	36.2	35.1
ATS Record	7-5-0	3-2-0	4-3-0
Over/Under Record	7-5-0	3-2-0	4-3-0
Moneyline Favorite Record	2-2	2-1	0-1
Moneyline Underdog Record	4-4	1-1	3-3

South Florida’s Offense vs. Alabama’s Defense (2024)

The Bulls average 172.0 yards through the air per game (98th in the FBS). The Crimson Tide rank 16th, giving up 103.0 passing yards.

South Florida’s offense averages 7.5 yards per pass attempt (73rd in the FBS). Alabama’s defense allows 2.6 yards per passing play (second in college football).

The Bulls are 67th in the FBS in red-zone percentage (85.7%), and will be facing the Crimson Tide’s first-ranked red zone defense (0.0%).

The Bulls’ offense is 73rd in college football averaging 403.0 yards per game, while Alabama ranks eighth in yards allowed (145.0).

Alabama vs. South Florida Prediction and Pick

Our prediction for A😼labama vs. South Florida sees the Crimson Tide (-9091 on the moneyline) as the pick to win. Based on our analysis of the historical stats for this matchup, we recommend betting on the under at 64.5 points.

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