Toledo vs. UMass Prediction: Odds, Picks, Best Bets – September 7, 2024

Sep 04, 2024

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The UMass Minutemen (0-1) will look to upset the Toledo Rockets (1-0) on꧟ Saturda⭕y, September 7, 2024 at the Glass Bowl. The Rockets are undoubtedly the favorites in this one, with the line posted at 18 points. The over/under in this contest is 51.5 points.

Toledo vs. UMass Favorite, Moneyline, Total

Spread favorite: Rockets (-18)

Moneyline: Rockets (-1099), Minutemen (+700)

Total: 51.5 points

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How to Watch Toledo vs. UMass

When: Saturday, September 7, 2024 at 3:30 p.m. ET

Location: Glass Bowl in Toledo, Ohio

TV: ESPN+

Live Stream:

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Toledo 2024 Stats & Rankings

Stat	Average (Total)	Rank
Pass yards	279.0 (279)	43
Rush yards	167.0 (167)	69
Points scored	49.0 (49)	32
Pass yards against	161.0 (161)	55
Rush yards against	123.0 (123)	71
Points allowed	10.0 (10)	39

Toledo 2024 Betting Info

The Rockets have covered once in one chances against the spread this season.

In games it has played as at least 18-point favorites this season, Toledo is 13-0 against the spread.

So far this season, one of the Rockets games has hit the over.

The average point total in Rockets games this year is 1.5 more points than the over/under of 51.5 in this matchup.

Toledo Home/Away Splits (2023)

	Overall	Home	Away
Point Total AVG	49.1	49.1	49.1
Implied Total AVG	30.5	31.7	29.6
ATS Record	6-7-0	2-4-0	4-3-0
Over/Under Record	6-7-0	3-3-0	3-4-0
Moneyline Favorite Record	10-1	5-1	5-0
Moneyline Underdog Record	0-2	0-0	0-2

Toledo’s Offense vs. UMass’ Defense (2024)

Toledo is 35th in the FBS in third-down percentage (54.5%) and will be facing the 114th-ranked UMass defense in that category (53.3%).

The Rockets have the 26th-ranked offense in the FBS, averaging 49.0 points per game. The Minutemen’s defense is 99th, allowing 28.0 points per contest.

Toledo ranks 39th in the FBS at 9.3 yards per pass attempt. UMass allows 8.3 yards per passing play (105th in college football).

UMass 2024 Stats & Rankings

Stat	Average (Total)	Rank
Pass yards	177.0 (177)	96
Rush yards	152.0 (152)	74
Points scored	14.0 (14)	113
Pass yards against	241.0 (241)	102
Rush yards against	134.0 (134)	80
Points allowed	28.0 (28)	99

UMass 2024 Betting Info

The Minutemen haven’t won a game against the spread this year.

Toledo is 13-0 against the spread when favored by 18 points or more this season.

Not one of the Minutemen’s one games has gone over the point total in 2024.

The Rockets’ average point total in outings this year is 53.0, 1.5 points higher than the total in this game.

UMass Home/Away Splits (2023)

	Overall	Home	Away
Point Total AVG	52.3	52.0	52.6
Implied Total AVG	33.6	30.2	37.0
ATS Record	5-7-0	1-5-0	4-2-0
Over/Under Record	8-4-0	4-2-0	4-2-0
Moneyline Favorite Record	1-3	1-3	0-0
Moneyline Underdog Record	2-6	0-2	2-4

UMass’ Offense vs. Toledo’s Defense (2024)

The Minutemen’s offense is 113th in the FBS at 14.0 points per game. The Rockets give up 10.0 per game (39th in college football).

UMass averages 0.2 points per play (112th in the FBS), while Toledo gives up 0.2 per play (41st in college football).

The Rockets’ defense gives up 5.6 yards per pass attempt (56th in the FBS). The Minutemen’s offense averages 5.9 yards per pass (105th in college football).

Toledo vs. UMass Prediction and Pick

Our prediction for Toledo vs. UMass sees the Rockets (-1099 on the moneyline) as the pick to win. For the over/under, we pick the over at ꦺ51.5 points.

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