Utah vs. Baylor Prediction: Picks, Live Odds and Moneyline – September 7, 2024

Sep 04, 2024

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The No. 11 Utah Utes (1-0) and the Baylor Beꦆars (1-0) will meet in a matchup of Big 12 teams on Saturday, September 7, 2024 at Rice-Eccles Stadium. The Bears will need to play a near perfect game to pull off an upset, bookmakers have them as 14-point underdogs. An over/under of 54.5 points has been set for the contest.

Utah vs. Baylor Favorite, Moneyline, Total

Spread favorite: Utes (-14)

Moneyline: Utes (-625), Bears (+455)

Total: 54.5 points

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How to Watch Utah vs. Baylor

When: Saturday, September 7, 2024 at 3:30 p.m. ET

Location: Rice-Eccles Stadium in Salt Lake City, Utah

TV: FOX

Live Stream:

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Utah 2024 Stats & Rankings

Stat	Average (Total)	Rank
Pass yards	328.0 (328)	28
Rush yards	185.0 (185)	58
Points scored	49.0 (49)	29
Pass yards against	71.0 (71)	4
Rush yards against	79.0 (79)	44
Points allowed	0.0 (0)	1

Utah 2023 Betting Info

The Utes won six games against the spread last season, failing to cover or pushing seven times.

Utah did not cover the spread last season (0-2 ATS) when playing as at least 14-point favorites.

Last season, five Utes games went over the point total.

The average point total for Utes games last year was 8.9 fewer points than the total of 54.5 in this matchup.

Utah Home/Away Splits (2023)

	Overall	Home	Away
Point Total AVG	45.6	44.5	46.8
Implied Total AVG	27.5	28.4	26.5
ATS Record	6-6-1	4-3-0	2-3-1
Over/Under Record	5-8-0	2-5-0	3-3-0
Moneyline Favorite Record	7-1	6-0	1-1
Moneyline Underdog Record	1-4	0-1	1-3

Utah’s Offense vs. Baylor’s Defense (2024)

The Bears allow opponents to score on 50.0% of their red-zone trips (13th in college football). The Utes’ offense has an 80.0% red-zone percentage (81st).

Utah is successful on 46.2% of its third-down plays (61st in college football). Baylor’s defense gives up third-down conversions at a 13.3% clip (ninth).

The Utes’ passing attack averages 12.6 yards per pass attempt (11th in the FBS). The Bears allow 5.3 per pass (49th in college football).

Baylor 2024 Stats & Rankings

Stat	Average (Total)	Rank
Pass yards	278.0 (278)	46
Rush yards	164.0 (164)	72
Points scored	45.0 (45)	37
Pass yards against	80.0 (80)	9
Rush yards against	101.0 (101)	54
Points allowed	3.0 (3)	14

Baylor 2023 Betting Info

Against the spread, the Bears were 3-7-1 last year.

Utah did not cover the spread last season (0-2 ATS) when playing as at least 14-point favorites.

Out of the 11 Bears’ games last season, six hit the over.

The average point total for Utes games last year was 8.9 less points than the over/under of 54.5 in this matchup.

Baylor Home/Away Splits (2023)

	Overall	Home	Away
Point Total AVG	54.2	53.3	55.8
Implied Total AVG	32.3	31.6	33.5
ATS Record	3-7-1	1-5-1	2-2-0
Over/Under Record	6-5-0	3-4-0	3-1-0
Moneyline Favorite Record	0-2	0-2	0-0
Moneyline Underdog Record	2-7	0-5	2-2

Baylor’s Offense vs. Utah’s Defense (2024)

The Bears are 62nd in college football, gaining 442.0 yards per game, while the Utes rank 10th in yards conceded (150.0).

Baylor ranks 85th in the FBS averaging 3.8 yards per carry. Utah allows 2.6 per rushing attempt (43rd in college football).

The Bears average 278.0 passing yards per game (46th in the FBS). They will be up against take on the Utes’ defense which ranks fourth, giving up 71.0 yards per game through the air.

Baylor averages 0.6 points per play (38th in the FBS), and Utah allows 0.0 per play (first in college football).

Utah vs. Baylor Prediction and Pick

Our prediction for Utah vs. Baylor is the Utes (-625 on the moneyline) as the pick to win. As for the over/under,𓂃 we prefer the under at 54.5ඣ points.

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