Florida vs. Mississippi State Prediction: Live Odds, Stats, History and Picks – September 21, 2024

Sep 18, 2024

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SEC play features the Florida Gators (1-2) taking on the Mississippi State🙈 Bulldogs (1-2) on Saturday, September 21, 2024 at Davis Wade Stadium at Scott Field. The Gators are favored by 5.5 points. The over/under for🥀 the contest is 58 points.

Florida vs. Mississippi State Favorite, Moneyline, Total

Spread favorite: Gators (-5.5)

Moneyline: Gators (-218), Bulldogs (+180)

Total: 58 points

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How to Watch Florida vs. Mississippi State

When: Saturday, September 21, 2024 at 12:00 p.m. ET

Location: Davis Wade Stadium at Scott Field in Starkville, Mississippi

TV: ESPN

Live Stream:

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Florida 2024 Stats & Rankings

Stat	Average (Total)	Rank
Pass yards	279.0 (837)	39
Rush yards	119.0 (357)	101
Points scored	27.3 (82)	70
Pass yards against	235.7 (707)	91
Rush yards against	171.7 (515)	101
Points allowed	27.0 (81)	94

Florida 2024 Betting Info

The Gators have compiled a 0-3-0 record against the spread this season.

Florida is winless against the spread (0-1) when playing as at least 5.5-point favorites.

So far this season, two Gators games have gone over the point total.

The average over/under the Gators have had set in games this season is 6.2 less points than this outing’s point total.

Florida Home/Away Splits (2024)

	Overall	Home	Away
Point Total AVG	51.5	50.6	52.5
Implied Total AVG	30.5	31.7	29.2
ATS Record	4-7-0	2-4-0	2-3-0
Over/Under Record	7-4-0	3-3-0	4-1-0
Moneyline Favorite Record	2-1	2-1	0-0
Moneyline Underdog Record	1-6	1-2	0-4

Florida’s Offense vs. Mississippi State’s Defense (2024)

Florida’s passing attack averages 10.1 yards per pass attempt (11th in the FBS). Mississippi State allows 6.1 per pass (47th in college football).

The Bulldogs allow opponents to score on 83.3% of their red-zone appearances (66th in college football). The Gators’ offense has an 80.0% red-zone percentage (89th).

Mississippi State’s defense ranks 94th in yards conceded per game (388.0), while Florida’s offense is 72nd in college football at 398.0 yards per game.

Mississippi State 2024 Stats & Rankings

Stat	Average (Total)	Rank
Pass yards	278.0 (834)	42
Rush yards	97.7 (293)	114
Points scored	32.0 (96)	47
Pass yards against	174.3 (523)	45
Rush yards against	213.7 (641)	122
Points allowed	26.0 (78)	90

Mississippi State 2024 Betting Info

The Bulldogs have won once against the spread this season.

Florida is winless against the spread (0-1) when playing as at least 5.5-point favorites.

The Bulldogs have played two games (out of three) which finished over the total this year.

The Gators’ average point total in outings this year is 51.8, 6.2 points below the over/under in this game.

Mississippi State Home/Away Splits (2024)

	Overall	Home	Away
Point Total AVG	49.6	52.6	43.5
Implied Total AVG	31.5	34.0	26.5
ATS Record	3-8-1	2-5-1	1-3-0
Over/Under Record	6-6-0	4-4-0	2-2-0
Moneyline Favorite Record	3-0	3-0	0-0
Moneyline Underdog Record	1-7	0-4	1-3

Mississippi State’s Offense vs. Florida’s Defense (2024)

The Bulldogs are ranked 22nd in the FBS in yards per pass (9.3), and will be facing the Gators’ No. 111-ranked defense in that category (8.2).

The Bulldogs average 278.0 passing yards per game (42nd in the FBS) compared to the 235.7 per game the Gators allow (91st in college football).

Mississippi State averages 0.5 points per play (32nd in the FBS) compared to the 0.4 per play Florida gives up (78th in college football).

Florida vs. Mississippi State Prediction and Pick

Our prediction for Florida vs. Miss🔜issippi State sees the Bulldogs (+180 on the moneyline) as the pick to win. As for the o🅺ver/under, we recommend betting on the under at 58 points.

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