Liberty vs. East Carolina Prediction: Live Odds, Stats, History and Picks – September 21, 2024

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Sep 18, 2024
Sep 18, 2024

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The Liberty Flames (3-0) square off against the East Carolina Pirates (2෴-1) on Saturday, September 21, 2024 at Williams Stadium (VA). The Flames are listed as favorites in this one, with the spread sitting at 6.5 points. The over/under is 54.5 in the contest.

Liberty vs. East Carolina Favorite, Moneyline, Total

  • Spread favorite: Flames (-6.5)
  • Moneyline: Flames (-238), Pirates (+195)
  • Total: 54.5 points

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    How to Watch Liberty vs. East Carolina

  • When: Saturday, September 21, 2024 at 6:00 p.m. ET
  • Location: Williams Stadium (VA) in Lynchburg, Virginia
  • TV: ESPN+
  • Live Stream:

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    • Liberty 2024 Stats & Rankings

    Stat Average (Total) Rank
    Pass yards 246.0 (738) 57
    Rush yards 227.7 (683) 23
    Points scored 33.0 (99) 41
    Pass yards against 198.7 (596) 65
    Rush yards against 111.3 (334) 48
    Points allowed 19.3 (58) 54

    Liberty 2024 Betting Info

  • The Flames have not won against the spread this season in three chances.
  • Liberty is winless against the spread (0-3) when playing as at least 6.5-point favorites.
  • Flames games have gone over the point total once this season.
  • The average over/under the Flames have had in their games this season is 2.5 more points than this particular game’s point total.

    • Liberty Home/Away Splits (2024)

    Overall Home Away
    Point Total AVG 58.0 57.1 59.1
    Implied Total AVG 35.2 35.6 34.7
    ATS Record 9-4-0 5-2-0 4-2-0
    Over/Under Record 8-5-0 5-2-0 3-3-0
    Moneyline Favorite Record 12-0 7-0 5-0
    Moneyline Underdog Record 0-1 0-0 0-1

    Liberty’s Offense vs. East Carolina’s Defense (2024)

  • The Flames’ passing attack averages 10.0 yards per pass attempt (13th in the FBS). The Pirates allow 6.9 per pass (78th in college football).
  • Liberty has a 39.5% third-down conversion rate, 73rd in the FBS. East Carolina allows third-down conversions on 25.0% of its opponents’ attempts (15th).
  • Liberty ranks 40th in the FBS averaging 5.3 yards per carry. East Carolina allows 1.8 per rushing attempt (third in college football).

    • East Carolina 2024 Stats & Rankings

    Stat Average (Total) Rank
    Pass yards 289.0 (867) 31
    Rush yards 143.0 (429) 88
    Points scored 27.0 (81) 71
    Pass yards against 229.0 (687) 88
    Rush yards against 73.0 (219) 17
    Points allowed 12.7 (38) 29

    East Carolina 2024 Betting Info

  • The Pirates have posted one win against the spread this season.
  • Liberty has not yet covered the spread as favorites of 6.5 points or more this season (0-3).
  • Not one of the Pirates’ two games has gone over the point total in 2024.
  • The Flames’ average total in matchups this season has been 57.0, 2.5 points higher than the over/under in this particular game.

    • East Carolina Home/Away Splits (2024)

    Overall Home Away
    Point Total AVG 45.1 45.3 44.9
    Implied Total AVG 27.9 27.0 28.8
    ATS Record 5-7-0 2-4-0 3-3-0
    Over/Under Record 4-8-0 2-4-0 2-4-0
    Moneyline Favorite Record 1-2 1-2 0-0
    Moneyline Underdog Record 1-8 0-3 1-5

    East Carolina’s Offense vs. Liberty’s Defense (2024)

  • The Pirates rank 99th in the FBS averaging 3.7 yards per carry. The Flames give up 3.2 per rushing attempt (42nd in college football).
  • East Carolina scores on 55.6% of their red-zone trips (132nd in the FBS), and will be up against Liberty’s 77th-ranked defense in that category (87.5%).

    • Liberty vs. East Carolina Prediction and Pick

    Our prediction for Liberty vs. East Carolina sees the Flames (-238 ✃on the moneyline) as the pick to win. ღFor the over/under, we prefer the under at 54.5 points.

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