LSU vs. UCLA Prediction: Odds, Picks, Best Bets – September 21, 2024

Sep 18, 2024

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The UCLA Bruins (1-1) will look 🐼to upset the No. 16 LSU Tigers (2-1) on Saturday, September 21, 2024 at Tiger Stadium. The Tigers are heavy favorites in this one, with the spread sitting at 23.5 points. The over/under is set at 57 in the outing.

LSU vs. UCLA Favorite, Moneyline, Total

Spread favorite: Tigers (-23.5)

Moneyline: Tigers (-2083), Bruins (+1100)

Total: 57 points

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How to Watch LSU vs. UCLA

When: Saturday, September 21, 2024 at 3:30 p.m. ET

Location: Tiger Stadium in Baton Rouge, Louisiana

TV: ABC

Live Stream:

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LSU 2024 Stats & Rankings

Stat	Average (Total)	Rank
Pass yards	301.0 (903)	24
Rush yards	104.3 (313)	111
Points scored	33.3 (100)	40
Pass yards against	226.0 (678)	85
Rush yards against	154.0 (462)	90
Points allowed	27.0 (81)	94

LSU 2024 Betting Info

The Tigers have not won against the spread this season in three chances.

LSU is winless against the spread (0-1) when playing as at least 23.5-point favorites.

So far this season, two Tigers games have gone over the point total.

The Tigers’ average total in matchups this season has been 57.5, 0.5 points higher than the total in this particular game.

LSU Home/Away Splits (2023)

	Overall	Home	Away
Point Total AVG	62.0	63.1	60.4
Implied Total AVG	37.6	41.1	32.6
ATS Record	6-6-0	4-3-0	2-3-0
Over/Under Record	11-1-0	6-1-0	5-0-0
Moneyline Favorite Record	9-2	7-0	2-2
Moneyline Underdog Record	0-1	0-0	0-1

LSU’s Offense vs. UCLA’s Defense (2024)

The Tigers have one of college football’s best passing offenses, a 24th-ranked unit that picks up 301.0 yards per game. They will be facing the No. 112 defense in that category, owned by the Bruins (267.0).

LSU’s 104.3 rushing yards per game is good for 111th in the FBS. UCLA’s defense allows 87.0 on the ground (28th in college football).

The Tigers convert 41.7% of their third downs (60th in college football), while the Bruins’ defense ranks 125th in that category (50.0%)

LSU averages 4.0 yards per carry (88th in college football) compared to the 3.1 per rushing attempt UCLA gives up (35th in the FBS).

UCLA 2024 Stats & Rankings

Stat	Average (Total)	Rank
Pass yards	207.0 (414)	85
Rush yards	83.5 (167)	122
Points scored	14.5 (29)	133
Pass yards against	267.0 (534)	112
Rush yards against	87.0 (174)	28
Points allowed	27.5 (55)	97

UCLA 2024 Betting Info

The Bruins have no wins against the spread this season.

LSU is 0-1 against the spread when favored by 23.5 points or more this season.

The Bruins have had one game (out of two) go over the total this season.

The Tigers’ average total in outings this season has been 57.5, 0.5 points higher than the over/under in this particular game.

UCLA Home/Away Splits (2023)

	Overall	Home	Away
Point Total AVG	53.8	56.3	52.1
Implied Total AVG	31.4	33.8	29.7
ATS Record	5-7-0	1-4-0	4-3-0
Over/Under Record	2-10-0	0-5-0	2-5-0
Moneyline Favorite Record	6-3	3-2	3-1
Moneyline Underdog Record	1-2	0-0	1-2

UCLA’s Offense vs. LSU’s Defense (2024)

The Bruins are 116th in the FBS in third-down percentage (28.6%), and will be up against the 64th-ranked Tigers third down defense (35.3%).

UCLA is 124th in college football, racking up 290.5 yards per game, while LSU ranks 90th in yards conceded (380.0).

The Bruins’ 83.5 rushing yards per game is good for 122nd in the FBS. The Tigers’ defense allows 154.0 on the ground (90th in college football).

UCLA’s offense is 126th in the FBS at 14.5 points per game. LSU allows 27.0 per game (94th in college football).

LSU vs. UCLA Prediction and Pick

Our prediction for LSU vs. UCLA sees the Tigers (-2083 on the moneyline) as the pick to win. For th🐼e total, we pick the un🌳der at 57 points.

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