North Carolina vs. James Madison Prediction: Odds, Picks, Best Bets – September 21, 2024

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Sep 18, 2024
Sep 18, 2024

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The North Carolina Tar Heels (3-0) play the James Madison Dukes (2-0) on 🌠Saturday, September 21, 2024 at Kenan Stadium. The Tar Heels are notable favorites in this one, with the spread posted at 10.5 points. The over/under for the contest is 48 points.

North Carolina vs. James Madison Favorite, Moneyline, Total

  • Spread favorite: Tar Heels (-10.5)
  • Moneyline: Tar Heels (-410), Dukes (+320)
  • Total: 48 points

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    How to Watch North Carolina vs. James Madison

  • When: Saturday, September 21, 2024 at 12:00 p.m. ET
  • Location: Kenan Stadium in Chapel Hill, North Carolina
  • TV: ACC Network
  • Live Stream:

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    • North Carolina 2024 Stats & Rankings

    Stat Average (Total) Rank
    Pass yards 169.7 (509) 111
    Rush yards 248.7 (746) 15
    Points scored 34.0 (102) 36
    Pass yards against 188.3 (565) 60
    Rush yards against 68.0 (204) 13
    Points allowed 15.7 (47) 41

    North Carolina 2024 Betting Info

  • The Tar Heels have covered once in three matchups with a spread this season.
  • North Carolina is 0-2 against the spread when favored by 10.5 points or more this season.
  • So far this season, one of the Tar Heels games has hit the over.
  • The average over/under the Tar Heels have had set in games this season is 4.2 more points than this outing’s point total.

    • North Carolina Home/Away Splits (2023)

    Overall Home Away
    Point Total AVG 58.6 57.9 59.4
    Implied Total AVG 35.2 37.1 32.8
    ATS Record 6-7-0 4-3-0 2-4-0
    Over/Under Record 6-6-1 3-3-1 3-3-0
    Moneyline Favorite Record 7-3 5-1 2-2
    Moneyline Underdog Record 0-2 0-0 0-2

    North Carolina’s Offense vs. James Madison’s Defense (2024)

  • The Tar Heels average 6.5 yards per pass attempt (102nd in the FBS) compared to the 4.7 per pass the Dukes give up (12th in college football).
  • North Carolina averages 169.7 passing yards per game (111th in the FBS). It plays the Dukes’ defense which ranks 49th, allowing 176.5 yards per game through the air.
  • The Tar Heels’ running game ranks 15th in the FBS (248.7 yards per game). The Dukes allow 120.0 rushing yards per game (55th).
  • North Carolina scores on 91.7% of their red-zone trips (40th in the FBS), and will be up against James Madison’s top-ranked defense in that category (33.3%).

    • James Madison 2024 Stats & Rankings

    Stat Average (Total) Rank
    Pass yards 177.0 (354) 107
    Rush yards 174.0 (348) 51
    Points scored 21.5 (43) 123
    Pass yards against 176.5 (353) 49
    Rush yards against 120.0 (240) 55
    Points allowed 6.5 (13) 7

    James Madison 2024 Betting Info

  • The Dukes have one win against the spread this season.
  • North Carolina has not yet covered the spread as favorites of 10.5 points or more this season (0-2).
  • The Dukes and their opponent have yet to go over the total this year.
  • The average point total in Tar Heels games this season is 4.2 more points than the total of 48 in this matchup.

    • James Madison Home/Away Splits (2023)

    Overall Home Away
    Point Total AVG 49.8 52.3 47.6
    Implied Total AVG 30.5 35.3 26.4
    ATS Record 8-5-0 3-3-0 5-2-0
    Over/Under Record 8-5-0 3-3-0 5-2-0
    Moneyline Favorite Record 9-1 4-1 5-0
    Moneyline Underdog Record 1-1 0-0 1-1

    James Madison’s Offense vs. North Carolina’s Defense (2024)

  • The Dukes have a 26.1% third-down conversion rate, 126th in the FBS. The Tar Heels allow third-down conversions on 27.5% of their opponents’ attempts (25th).
  • James Madison is 98th in college football, racking up 351.0 yards per game, while North Carolina ranks 24th in yards allowed (256.3).
  • The Dukes rank 27th in the FBS at 8.9 yards per pass attempt. The Tar Heels allow 7.6 yards per passing play (98th in college football).
  • James Madison’s offense is 104th in the FBS at 21.5 points per game. North Carolina allows 15.7 per game (41st in college football).

    • North Carolina vs. James Madison Prediction and Pick

    Our prediction for North Carolina vs. James Madison sees the Dukes (+320 on the moneyline) as the pick to win. As for the total, we recommend betting on the under at 48 poဣints.

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