TCU vs. SMU Prediction: Live Odds, Stats, History and Picks – September 21, 2024

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The Iron ⛎Skillet is at stake when the TCU Horned Frogs (2-1) and SMU Mustangs (2-1) meet on Saturday, September 21, 2024 at Gerald J. Ford Stadium. The Horned Frogs are just 2.5-point favorites. The over/under in this contest is 58.5 points.

TCU vs. SMU Favorite, Moneyline, Total

  • Spread favorite: Horned Frogs (-2.5)
  • Moneyline: Horned Frogs (-142), Mustangs (+120)
  • Total: 58.5 points
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    How to Watch TCU vs. SMU

  • When: Saturday, September 21, 2024 at 5:00 p.m. ET
  • Location: Gerald J. Ford Stadium in University Park, Texas
  • TV: The CW
  • Live Stream:
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  • TCU 2024 Stats & Rankings

    Stat Average (Total) Rank
    Pass yards 351.0 (1053) 5
    Rush yards 96.3 (289) 115
    Points scored 37.7 (113) 21
    Pass yards against 154.3 (463) 34
    Rush yards against 154.7 (464) 91
    Points allowed 20.7 (62) 65

    TCU 2024 Betting Info

  • The Horned Frogs have compiled a 0-3-0 record against the spread this season.
  • TCU has not yet covered the spread as favorites of 2.5 points or more this season (0-3).
  • Horned Frogs games have gone over the point total twice this season.
  • The Horned Frogs’ average point total in outings this season is 59.2, 0.7 points higher than the over/under in this game.
  • TCU Home/Away Splits (2024)

    Overall Home Away
    Point Total AVG 58.7 57.7 60.0
    Implied Total AVG 34.4 35.0 33.6
    ATS Record 5-6-0 4-2-0 1-4-0
    Over/Under Record 4-7-0 2-4-0 2-3-0
    Moneyline Favorite Record 4-3 3-2 1-1
    Moneyline Underdog Record 0-4 0-1 0-3

    TCU’s Offense vs. SMU’s Defense (2024)

  • The Horned Frogs average 3.3 yards per carry (109th in college football) compared to the 3.0 per rushing attempt the Mustangs allow (29th in the FBS).
  • TCU’s 96.3 rushing yards per game is good for 115th in the FBS. SMU’s defense allows 105.3 on the ground (38th in college football).
  • The Horned Frogs’ red-zone percentage is 94.1% (27th in the FBS), while the Mustangs allow a score on 100.0% of their opponents’ red-zone appearances (103rd in college football).
  • SMU 2024 Stats & Rankings

    Stat Average (Total) Rank
    Pass yards 226.0 (678) 72
    Rush yards 195.3 (586) 38
    Points scored 34.3 (103) 34
    Pass yards against 158.3 (475) 37
    Rush yards against 105.3 (316) 38
    Points allowed 16.3 (49) 44

    SMU 2024 Betting Info

  • The Mustangs haven’t won a game against the spread this year.
  • TCU has not yet covered the spread as favorites of 2.5 points or more this season (0-3).
  • No Mustangs game has gone over the point total this year.
  • The Horned Frogs’ average total in outings this season has been 59.2, 0.7 points higher than the over/under in this particular game.
  • SMU Home/Away Splits (2024)

    Overall Home Away
    Point Total AVG 56.8 57.3 56.4
    Implied Total AVG 36.2 39.2 34.4
    ATS Record 7-6-0 4-1-0 3-5-0
    Over/Under Record 5-8-0 2-3-0 3-5-0
    Moneyline Favorite Record 9-1 5-0 4-1
    Moneyline Underdog Record 1-2 0-0 1-2

    SMU’s Offense vs. TCU’s Defense (2024)

  • The Mustangs score on 78.6% of their red zone trips (99th in the FBS), and will be up against the Horned Frogs’ 39th-ranked defense in that category (75.0%).
  • SMU’s running game ranks 38th in the FBS (195.3 yards per game), while TCU allows 154.7 per game (91st-ranked run defense).
  • The Mustangs convert 40.5% of their third downs (67th in college football), while the Horned Frogs’ defense ranks 113th in that category (43.8%)
  • SMU’s offense averages 7.2 yards per pass attempt (83rd in the FBS). TCU’s defense allows 5.8 yards per passing play (39th in college football).
  • TCU vs. SMU Prediction and Pick

    Our prediction for TCU vs. SMU is the Horned Frogs (-1🦋42 on the moneyline) as the p𒉰ick to win. As for the total, we recommend betting on the under at 58.5 points.

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