Toledo vs. Western Kentucky Prediction: Picks, Live Odds and Moneyline – September 21, 2024

Sep 18, 2024

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The Toledo Rockets (3-0) play the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers (2-1) on Saturday, September 21,🧔 2024 at Houchens Industries-L.T. Smith Stadium. The line foretells a close game, with the Rockets favored by 2 points. An over/under of 62 points has been set for the outing.

Toledo vs. Western Kentucky Favorite, Moneyline, Total

Spread favorite: Rockets (-2)

Moneyline: Rockets (-130), Hilltoppers (+110)

Total: 62 points

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How to Watch Toledo vs. Western Kentucky

When: Saturday, September 21, 2024 at 7:00 p.m. ET

Location: Houchens Industries-L.T. Smith Stadium in Bowling Green, Kentucky

TV: ESPN+

Live Stream:

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Toledo 2024 Stats & Rankings

Stat	Average (Total)	Rank
Pass yards	246.3 (739)	56
Rush yards	139.7 (419)	91
Points scored	42.7 (128)	14
Pass yards against	246.3 (739)	103
Rush yards against	104.7 (314)	36
Points allowed	16.7 (50)	46

Toledo 2024 Betting Info

The Rockets have won two games against the spread this season.

In games it has played as at least 2-point favorites this season, Toledo is 1-1 against the spread.

This season, games featuring the Rockets have hit the over every time.

The average point total in Rockets games this season is 8.0 less points than the total of 62 in this matchup.

Toledo Home/Away Splits (2024)

	Overall	Home	Away
Point Total AVG	49.1	49.1	49.1
Implied Total AVG	30.5	31.7	29.6
ATS Record	6-7-0	2-4-0	4-3-0
Over/Under Record	6-7-0	3-3-0	3-4-0
Moneyline Favorite Record	10-1	5-1	5-0
Moneyline Underdog Record	0-2	0-0	0-2

Toledo’s Offense vs. Western Kentucky’s Defense (2024)

The Rockets have the No. 24 yards-per-pass average in college football (9.1 per attempt). The Hilltoppers’ defense gives up 11.6 per attempt (No. 134 in college football).

Toledo averages 0.7 points per play (eighth in the FBS) compared to the 0.5 per play Western Kentucky allows (106th in college football).

The Rockets have the 18th-ranked offense in the FBS, averaging 42.7 points per game. The Hilltoppers’ defense is 99th, giving up 28.0 points per contest.

Toledo is 45th in the FBS in third-down percentage (44.4%) and will be up against the 117th-ranked Western Kentucky defense in that category (44.4%).

Western Kentucky 2024 Stats & Rankings

Stat	Average (Total)	Rank
Pass yards	311.7 (935)	18
Rush yards	102.7 (308)	112
Points scored	26.7 (80)	73
Pass yards against	266.0 (798)	110
Rush yards against	194.0 (582)	116
Points allowed	28.0 (84)	99

Western Kentucky 2024 Betting Info

The Hilltoppers have two wins against the spread this year.

Toledo is 1-1 against the spread when favored by 2 points or more this season.

The Hilltoppers have played two games (out of three) which finished over the total this year.

The Rockets’ average point total in matchups this season is 54.0, 8.0 points less than the total in this game.

Western Kentucky Home/Away Splits (2024)

	Overall	Home	Away
Point Total AVG	58.8	61.9	57.1
Implied Total AVG	34.2	34.5	34.0
ATS Record	6-5-0	2-2-0	4-3-0
Over/Under Record	6-5-0	2-2-0	4-3-0
Moneyline Favorite Record	5-2	2-1	3-1
Moneyline Underdog Record	1-3	0-1	1-2

Western Kentucky’s Offense vs. Toledo’s Defense (2024)

The 311.7 passing yards per game the Hilltoppers average ranks them 18th in the FBS, while the 246.3 the Rockets give up ranks them 103rd in college football.

Western Kentucky’s 102.7 rushing yards per game is good for 112th in the FBS. Toledo’s defense gives up 104.7 on the ground (36th in college football).

The Hilltoppers average 3.5 yards per carry (104th in college football) compared to the 3.0 per rushing attempt the Rockets allow (29th in the FBS).

Western Kentucky averages 0.4 points per play (76th in the FBS), while Toledo gives up 0.2 per play (15th in college football).

Toledo vs. Western Kentucky Prediction and Pick

Our prediction for Toledo vs. Western Kentucky sees the Rockets (-130 on the moneylineܫ) as the pick to win. For the total, we pick the over at 62 points.

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