Florida vs. Mississippi State Football Best Bets & Computer Predictions – Sept. 21

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Sep 19, 2024
Sep 19, 2024

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SEC opponents will clash when the Florida Gators (1-2) battle the Mississippi State Bulldogs (1-2). Below, we highlight 💜the odds and best bets for you.

Pick Mississippi State (+6) to Cover

  • The Gators have not won a game against the spread this season (0-2-1).
  • The Bulldogs have put together a record of 1-2-0 against the spread this year.
  • The Gators have yet to cover the spread when they are at least 6-point favorites (0-0-1).
  • The Bulldogs are winless against the spread when they are 6-point underdogs or more (0-1).

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    Take the Under (58)

  • Florida’s games have gone over 58 points only once this season (in three contests).
  • Mississippi State and its opponents have combined to score more than 58 points twice this season.
  • Florida’s games this season have had an average of 51.8 points, 6.2 fewer than this matchup’s over/under.
  • Mississippi State has a 58.8-point average over/under in their outings this season, 0.8 more points than this game’s point total.

    • Back the Bulldogs on the Moneyline (+180)

  • The Gators have not been the moneyline favorite so far this season.
  • The Bulldogs lost the only game they’ve played as the underdog this season.
  • The Gators have never played a game this season with moneyline odds of -218 or shorter.
  • The Bulldogs have played as an underdog of +180 or more once this season and lost that game.
  • Based on this game’s moneyline, the Gators have an implied win probability of 68.6%.
  • The oddsmakers’ moneyline implies a 35.7% chance of a victory for the Bulldogs.

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