With the Kansas City Chiefs taking on the Atlanta Falcons in Week 3 (Sunday at 8:20 PM ET), is Patrick Mahomes a good bet to score a touchdown? Below, we dissect the odds and nu𝓰mbers to determine how well this matchup stacks up for him and his anytime touchdown player prop.
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Patrick Mahomes’ Anytime TD Prop Odds vs. the Falcons
Mahomes’ odds to score a TD in this game: +390 (Bet $10 to win $39.00 if he scores a TD)
Before betting on Mahomes’ anytime touchdown prop, delve into a bit of extra data first:
Patrick Mahomes TD Game Log
| Week | Opponent | Pass TDs | Rush TDs |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 1 | @Ravens | 1 | 0 |
| Week 2 | @Bengals | 2 | 0 |
Here’s how Mahomes’ 2024 touchdown rate stacks up against the NFL and Atlanta Falcons’ averages, plus a prediction for the upcoming game:
| Mahomes | League AVG | vs. Falcons | Prediction | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1+ Rushing TDs | 0% | 41.2% | 25% | 11.4% |
The “league average” and “versus opposing team” percentages show how often a player went over the stat total (while meeting the standard NFL qualifying participation threshold) compared to the total number of qualified players across the league in that stat category (passing, rushing or receiving).
Patrick Mahomes Season Stats
| Pass Comp. | Pass Att. | Comp. % | Pass Yards | Pass TDs | INTs | Pass Yards/Att. | Rush Att. | Rush Yards | Rush TDs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 38 | 53 | 71.7% | 442 | 3 | 3 | 8.3 | 6 | 32 | 0 |
Patrick Mahomes’ Other Props vs. the Falcons
| Pass Yds Over/Under | Pass Yds Over Payout | Rush Yds Over/Under | Rush Yds Over Payout | Pass TDs Over/Under | Pass TDs Over Payout | Rush Att Over/Under | Rush Att Over Payout |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 266.5 | -120 | 18.5 | -115 | 1.5 | -170 | 4.5 | +120 |
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