Nuggets vs. Timberwolves Predictions, Best Bets and Odds: Western Conference Semifinals Game 1 – Saturday, May 4, 2024

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The Denver Nuggets and the Minnesota Timberwolves square off to tip off the second round of the NBA Playoffs. The Nuggets are favored by 4.5 points in the matchup, which will be broadcast on TNT at 7:00 PM ET. The matchup’s over/under is set at 209.5.

Before you make an informed wager on the contest, take a look at the best bets available in Saturday’s game based on our computer predictions.

How to Bet on Nuggets vs. Timberwolves

Pick the Timberwolves (-4.5) to Cover

  • In the Nuggets’ 82 games this year, they have 38 wins against the spread.
  • The Timberwolves have played 82 games, with 40 wins against the spread.
  • The Nuggets have an against the spread record of 25-28-2 in their 55 games as a favorite of 4.5 points or more so far this season.
  • The Timberwolves are 4-4 ATS when underdogs by 4.5 points or more this season.
  • Take the Points Over (209.5)

  • The Nuggets have played 67 games with more than 209.5 points scored, their current matchup’s point total, this year.
  • A total of 61 Timberwolves games this season (out of 82) have gone over 209.5 total points scored.
  • These two teams average a combined 227.9 points per game, 18.4 more points than the over/under of 209.5 set for this game.
  • Opponents of the two teams average a combined 6.6 more points per game (216.1) than this game’s total of 209.5 points.
  • The average total the Nuggets have had in their matchups this season is 15.0 more points than this particular game’s point total.
  • The average total for Timberwolves games this season is 10.0 more points than the point total of 209.5 in this outing.
  • Back the Nuggets on the Moneyline (-185)

  • The Nuggets have come away with 53 wins in the 72 contests they have been listed as the favorites in this season.
  • The Timberwolves have won 45% of the games this season they were the moneyline underdog (9-11).
  • The Nuggets have a mark of 44-11 in contests where oddsmakers favor them by -185 or better on the moneyline.
  • The Timberwolves are 2-5 (winning just 28.6% of their games) when playing as a moneyline underdog of +154 or longer.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Nuggets have a 64.9% chance of walking away with the win.
  • The Timberwolves have a 39.4% chance to win this contest based on the moneyline’s implied probability.
  • Top Nuggets Props

    Name Points O/U Rebounds O/U Assists O/U
    Nikola Jokic 28.5 12.5 8.5
    Jamal Murray 23.5 4.5 6.5
    Michael Porter Jr. 17.5 7.5
    Aaron Gordon 13.5 7.5 3.5
    Kentavious Caldwell-Pope 8.5 2.5

    Top Timberwolves Props

    Name Points O/U Rebounds O/U Assists O/U
    Anthony Edwards 26.5 5.5 5.5
    Karl-Anthony Towns 18.5 7.5 2.5
    Rudy Gobert 13.5 11.5
    Mike Conley 10.5 2.5 5.5
    Naz Reid 9.5 3.5

    Best Nuggets vs. Timberwolves Promo Codes

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