Mavericks vs. Thunder Predictions, Best Bets and Odds: Western Conference Semifinals Game 3 – Saturday, May 11, 2024

Data Skrive Data Skrive
May 10, 2024
May 10, 2024

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The Dallas Mavericks are slight 2-point favorites𒀰 heading into Game 3 of the second round of the NBA Playoffs against the Oklahoma City Thunder at American Airlines Cent🐠er on Saturday, beginning at 3:30 PM ET on ABC. The series is tied 1-1. The matchup has a point total of 218.

Dive into the best bets available (based on our computer predictions) in Saturday’s game, before you make an informed wager on the matchup.

How to Bet on Mavericks vs. Thunder

Pick the Thunder (-2) to Cover

  • The Mavericks are 48-34-0 against the spread this season.
  • The Thunder are 46-35-1 against the spread this year.
  • The Mavericks have been favored by 2 points or more 44 times this season and are 28-16 ATS in those games.
  • The Thunder are 10-7-1 ATS when underdogs by 2 points or more this season.

    • Take the Points Over (218)

  • Mavericks games have gone over 218 points scored, their current matchup’s point total, 66 times (out of 82) this season.
  • The Thunder games have gone over 218 total points scored in 59 of 82 total matchups this season.
  • The two teams average a combined 20.0 more points per game (238) than this matchup’s over/under of 218 points.
  • Opponents of the two teams average a combined 10.3 more points per game (228.3) than this matchup’s total of 218 points.
  • The Mavericks’ average point total in matchups this year is 233.5, 15.5 points higher than the total in this game.
  • The average point total for the Thunder this season is 14.8 points higher than this game’s over/under.

    • Moneyline Winner: Thunder (+120)

  • The Mavericks have been favorites in 49 games this season and have come away with the win 37 times (75.5%) in those contests.
  • The Thunder have a 10-11 record in games they were the underdog on the moneyline (winning 47.6% of those games).
  • This season, the Mavericks have come away with a win 33 times in 43 chances when named as a favorite of at least -142 or better on the moneyline.
  • The Thunder have a 3-7 record (winning only 30% of their games) when playing as a moneyline underdog of +120 or longer.
  • The Mavericks have an implied victory probability of 58.7% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.
  • The implied moneyline probablility for this matchup gives the Thunder a 45.5% chance to win.

    • Top Mavericks Props

    Name Points O/U Rebounds O/U Assists O/U
    Luka Doncic 30.5 9.5 9.5
    Kyrie Irving 22.5 4.5 5.5
    P.J. Washington 13.5 6.5 –
    Daniel Gafford 11.5 7.5 –
    Tim Hardaway Jr. 8.5 2.5 –

    Top Thunder Props

    Name Points O/U Rebounds O/U Assists O/U
    Shai Gilgeous-Alexander 29.5 6.5 6.5
    Jalen Williams 19.5 4.5 4.5
    Chet Holmgren 15.5 8.5 –
    Luguentz Dort 9.5 4.5 –
    Aaron Wiggins 7.5 3.5 –

    Best Mavericks vs. Thunder Promo Codes

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