The Minnesota Timberwolves are slight 3.5-point favorites in Game 4 of the second round of the NBA Playoffs against the Denver Nuggets at Target Center on Sunday, 📖starting at 8:00 PM ET on TNT. The Timberwolves hold a 2-1 series lead. The over/under for the matchup is set at 204.5.
Before you place an informed wager on the matchup, see the best bets available in Sunday’s game based on our computer predictions.
How to Bet on Timberwolves vs. Nuggets
Pick the Timberwolves (-3.5) to Cover
Against the spread, the Timberwolves are 40-40-2 this year.
Against the spread, the Nuggets are 38-42-2 this year.
The Timberwolves have been favored by 3.5 points or more 47 times this season and are 22-25 ATS in those matchups.
The Nuggets have an ATS record of 3-1 in their four games when underdogs by 3.5 points or more this year.
Take the Points Over (204.5)
This season, the Timberwolves games have gone over 204.5 points scored, their current matchup’s total, 69 (out of 82) times.
This season, 72 of the Nuggets’ 82 total matchups have gone over 204.5 total points scored.
The two teams average a combined 23.4 more points per game (227.9) than this matchup’s over/under of 204.5 points.
Opponents of the two teams average a combined 11.6 more points per game (216.1) than this game’s over/under of 204.5 points.
The average over/under the Timberwolves have had in their matchups this year is 15.0 more points than this particular game’s point total.
The average total for Nuggets games this year is 20.0 more points than the point total of 204.5 for this outing.
Back the Timberwolves on the Moneyline (-166)
The Timberwolves have been favorites in 61 games this season and have come away with the win 46 times (75.4%) in those contests.
The Nuggets have put together a 4-6 record in games they were the underdog on the moneyline (winning 40% of those games).
This season, the Timberwolves have come away with a win 38 times in 47 chances when named as a favorite of at least -166 or shorter on the moneyline.
The Nuggets have gone 2-1 in games they have played as a moneyline underdog with odds of +140 or longer (66.7%).
Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Timberwolves have a 62.4% chance of pulling out a win.
The implied moneyline probablility in this matchup gives the Nuggets a 41.7% chance to win.
Top Timberwolves Props
| Name |
Points O/U |
Rebounds O/U |
Assists O/U |
| Anthony Edwards |
28.5 |
5.5 |
5.5 |
| Karl-Anthony Towns |
19.5 |
7.5 |
2.5 |
| Rudy Gobert |
11.5 |
11.5 |
– |
| Naz Reid |
10.5 |
3.5 |
– |
| Mike Conley |
10.5 |
3.5 |
6.5 |
Top Nuggets Props
| Name |
Points O/U |
Rebounds O/U |
Assists O/U |
| Nikola Jokic |
27.5 |
12.5 |
8.5 |
| Jamal Murray |
21.5 |
3.5 |
5.5 |
| Michael Porter Jr. |
16.5 |
5.5 |
– |
| Aaron Gordon |
11.5 |
4.5 |
3.5 |
| Kentavious Caldwell-Pope |
7.5 |
2.5 |
2.5 |
Best Timberwolves vs. Nuggets Promo Codes
